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European stock markets poised for revaluation amid policy shifts and spending increases

European stock markets are poised for a structural revaluation due to a significant policy shift, including a €150 billion increase in defense spending and a €500 billion infrastructure investment in Germany. Analysts predict that these measures could boost earnings per share growth by 20% by 2029, leading to a potential 10-15% increase in market valuations. While short-term risks remain, the long-term outlook suggests a shift in investor perception of Europe from a trading opportunity to a market with growth potential.

S&P 500 Struggles as Global Markets Outperform Amid Geopolitical Uncertainty

The S&P 500 has significantly underperformed compared to European and Chinese markets, gaining only 3% since January, while the STOXX 600 and Hang Seng rose over 9% and 14%, respectively. Future flows to Wall Street may hinge on geopolitical developments, particularly the Ukraine ceasefire talks, and the upcoming Fed meeting in March, which could signal shifts in monetary policy. A breach of the S&P 500's recent high of 5,100 points may initiate a new bull rally, supported by increasing buying pressure.
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